Hurricane Season 2024: Climatological Meteorological Apocalypse Or Don’t Believe The Hype ? ESM says be ready for anything and everything …
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The Atlantic Ocean basin saw 20 named tropical systems in 2023. Seven storms were hurricanes and three intensified to major hurricanes. If that sounds like a lot it certainly is. In fact 2023 ranked 4th overall for the most named storms in a year since 1950.
Evan Geiselman, Hurricane Phillipe, Avon Pier, North Carolina. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
An average season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
Rob Kelly, Hurricane Lee, Ocean City, New Jersey Photo: Craig Norgberg @njsurfpix
“The Atlantic basin produced the most named storms of any El Nino influenced year in the modern record,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of NOAA’s National Weather Service. “The record-warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic provided a strong counterbalance to the traditional El Nino impacts.”
Unidentified, Hurricane Franklin, Florida. Photo: Tom Dugan @tomduganphotos
The 2024 hurricane season is being predicted to be at least that active if not more so and now is the time to get your shit together from securing your home to getting a proper quiver together.
Tyler Clazy, Hurricane Ophelia, Delaware. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
As one of the strongest El Ninos ever observed nears its end, NOAA scientists predict a quick transition to La Nina conditions, which are conducive to Atlantic hurricane activity because La Nina tends to lessen wind shear in the tropics. At the same time, abundant oceanic heat content in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea creates more energy to fuel storm development.
Will Deane, Hurricane Lee, Outer banks, North Carolina. Photo: Jon Carter @joncarterphotography
NOAA National Weather Service forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to November 30, predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season and a 5% chance of a below-normal season.
Bethanne Wishbone, Hurricane Lee, Monmouth County, New Jersey Photo: Mike Vuocolo @mikesshoreshots
NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.
New Hampshire, Hurricane Phillipe. Photo: Josh Kelly @joshkellyphotos
In other words hold onto your hats, have all your contingency in order, evac routes plotted, insurance paid up, generators dusted off and tested and plywood for the windows and doors on hand like now. So, buckle up Buttercup, keep a weather eye, don’t do anything stupid and hope and pray we don’t see a major landfalling hurricane which, this season will be a miracle unto itself. BIG thanks to all the contributing lensmen who let ESM.com share their work with you, we can’t do it without them ! – Mez –
Tropical season light show at the Cape Hatteras Lighthouse, Buxton, North Carolina. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Hurricane Lee, New Hampshire. Photo: Brian Nevins @Brian Nevins
Chauncey Robinson, Hurricane Idalia, Outer Banks, North Carolina. Photo: Jon Carter @joncarterphotoraphy
Hurricane Idalia, South Brevard County, Florida. Photo Tom Dugan @tomduganphotos
Wiley Robinson, Hurricane Franklin, Indian Harbor Beach, Florida. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Wiley Robinson with Blue Bottle jellyfish welts, Hurricane Franklin, Indian Harbor Beach, Florida. @mezapixels
Hurricane Phillipe, Avon Pier, North Carolina. Photo: Jon Carter @joncarterphotography
Luke Johnson, Hurricane Lee, New England. Photo: Tony Gately @instagatesz
Hurricane Lee, southern North Carolina. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Ben Bourgeois, Hurricane Lee, Wrightsville, North Carolina Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Hurricane 2023 A-Team surf crew ( L to R ) Matt Kechele, Kelly Slater, Tommy O’Brien, Phillip Watters, David Speir and top Florida grom Shae Edwards at Chernobyls, Florida. Photo: @tomduganphotos
Charlie Hajeck, Hurricane Franklin, florida. Photo: Tom Dugan @tomduganphotos
Luke Lopez, Hurricane Phillipe, Salvo, North Carolina. Photo: Jon Carter @joncarterphotography
Alana Lopez, Hurricane Phillipe, Salvo, North Carolina. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Hurricane Phillipe, First Groin to the Cove section, Buxton, North Carolina. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Hurricane Lee, New Jersey. Photo: Sean Zappo @shawn_zappo
Luke French, Hurricane Idalia, Florida. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Hurricane Idalia, Outer Banks, North Carolina. Photo: Mike Leech @mikeleechphoto
Kody Grondin, Hurricane Phillipe, New Hampshire. Photo: Ralph Fatello @ralphs.pics
Audra Williams, Hurricane Lee, Treasure Coast Florida. Photo: Mark Hill @mhillphotos
Kai Sommers Hurricane Phillipe, Maryland. Photo: Nick Denny @nickdennyphoto
Hurricane Ophelia, Ocean City, Maryland. Photo: Mez @mezapixels
Red Sky in the morning sailors take warning . Is nature sending us a warning for the 2024 Tropical Season with this beautiful Jersey sunrise ? Be prepared ! Photo: Bobby Siliato @@robertsiliato
